A crystal ball made of agents

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Abstract
This article presents an agent-based solution to model the opinions of an experts group with the aim of predicting possible future scenarios. The need to envision the future is not new; it has existed since the beginning of human-kind. What it is new is the applicable technology that is available in a specific period of time. It is not usual to find a critical social system which evolves according to predictable guidelines or tendencies. Because of that reason, technical prediction based on past and present data is not reliable. This paper includes the process description of eliciting information from a group of experts and a real case study.
Year of Publication
2010
Journal
International Journal of Interactive Multimedia and Artificial Intelligence
Volume
1
Issue
A Direct Path to Intelligent Tools
Number
3
Number of Pages
13-17
Date Published
12/2010
ISSN Number
1989-1660
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